Publications
Paying Too Much? Borrower Sophistication and Overpayment in the US Mortgage Market (with Neil Bhutta and Aurel Hizmo)
Journal of Finance, forthcoming
The Effect of Macroprudential Policies on Homeownership: Evidence from Switzerland (with Elio Bolliger, Adrian Bruhin, and Maja Ganarin)
Journal of Urban Economics, 2025
Tiers of Joy? Reserve Tiering and Bank Behavior in a Negative-Rate Environment (with Tan Schelling and Pascal Towbin)
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024
The Time-Varying Price of Financial Intermediation in the Mortgage Market (with Stephanie Lo and Paul Willen)
Journal of Finance, 2024
Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic (with Ester Faia, Vincenzo Pezone, and Basit Zafar)
Review of Economics and Statistics, 2024
Mortgage-Backed Securities (with David Lucca and James Vickery)
Chapter in Research Handbook of Financial Markets, 2023
FinTech Lending (with Tobias Berg and Manju Puri)
Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2022
Survey Experiments on Economic Expectations (with Basit Zafar)
Chapter in Handbook of Economic Expectations, 2022
Expectations with Endogenous Information Acquisition: An Experimental Investigation (with Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Mirko Wiederholt, and Basit Zafar)
Review of Economics and Statistics, 2022
Predictably Unequal? The Effects of Machine Learning on Credit Markets (with Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Tarun Ramadorai, and Ansgar Walther)
Journal of Finance, 2022
Brattle Group Prize for the Best Paper in Corporate Finance in the Journal of Finance, 2022
Wharton School -- WRDS Award for Best Empirical Finance Paper, WFA 2019. [VoxEU] [The Economist] [Code]
Scale Effects on Efficiency and Profitability in the Swiss Banking Sector (with Marc Blatter)
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 2022
What Would You Do With $500? Spending Responses to Gains, Losses, News and Loans (with Greg Kaplan and Basit Zafar)
Review of Economic Studies, 2021
How Do Mortgage Refinances Affect Debt, Default, and Spending? Evidence from HARP (with Joshua Abel)
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2021
The Sensitivity of Housing Demand to Financing Conditions: Evidence from a Survey (with Basit Zafar)
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2021
Understanding Mortgage Spreads (with Nina Boyarchenko and David Lucca)
Review of Financial Studies, 2019
Home Price Expectations and Behavior: Evidence from a Randomized Information Experiment (with Luis Armona and Basit Zafar)
Review of Economic Studies, 2019
The Role of Technology in Mortgage Lending (with Matthew Plosser, Philipp Schnabl, and James Vickery)
Review of Financial Studies, 2019
[Lender classification and other data] [Working paper] [Appendix] [Liberty Street Economics blog]
Regional Heterogeneity and the Refinancing Channel of Monetary Policy (with Martin Beraja, Erik Hurst, and Joseph Vavra)
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2019
Tracking and Stress-Testing U.S. Household Leverage (with Benedict Guttman-Kenney and Andrew Haughwout)
FRBNY Economic Policy Review, 2018
[Updated figures] [Liberty Street Economics post 1, post 2, post 3]
Payment Size, Negative Equity, and Mortgage Default (with Paul Willen)
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2017
[Working paper version, with more detail on main analysis but without heterogeneity and prime mortgage analyses included in AEJ version.]
To Buy or Not to Buy: Consumer Constraints in the Housing Market (with Basit Zafar)
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 2016
The Rescue of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (with Scott Frame, Joseph Tracy, and James Vickery)
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2015
Securitization and the Fixed-Rate Mortgage (with James Vickery)
Review of Financial Studies, 2015
The Endowment Effect (with Keith Ericson)
Annual Review of Economics, 2014
The Rising Gap between Primary and Secondary Mortgage Rates (with Laurie Goodman, David Lucca, Laurel Madar, Linsey Molloy, and Paul Willen)
FRBNY Economic Policy Review, 2013
[The Economist] [Financial Times] [Wall Street Journal] [Liberty Street Economics blog]
What Goes Up Must Come Down? Experimental Evidence on Intuitive Forecasting (with John Beshears, James Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte Madrian)
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 2013
Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing (with Benjamin Hebert and David Laibson)
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011
Investment Dynamics with Natural Expectations (with Benjamin Hebert and David Laibson)
International Journal of Central Banking, 2012
Expectations as Endowments: Evidence on Reference-Dependent Preferences from Exchange and Valuation Experiments (with Keith Ericson)
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2011
[Appendix] [Earlier version with additional discussion]
[Replication report (from Camerer et al., Science 2016); our comment]
Insuring Consumption Using Income-Linked Assets (with Paul Willen)
Review of Finance, 2011
Natural Expectations and Macroeconomic Fluctuations (with David Laibson and Brock Mendel)
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2010
Another Hidden Cost of Incentives: The Detrimental Effect on Norm Enforcement (with Stephan Meier)
Management Science, 2010